The thermostat problem
A thermostat corrects a room by measuring the gap between the temperature it senses and the temperature we want. It turns the heat on, then waits. The adjustment changes the next measurement. In a well-behaved system, the correction gets smaller as the room approaches the target.
Now imagine the sensor reports yesterday’s temperature. The heater keeps acting on an old signal. By the time the room feels warm enough, the system has already committed to more heat than it needs. The same corrective mechanism that normally stabilizes the room can produce an overshoot.
The useful question is not only whether an intervention works. It is when its effect becomes visible, who observes it, and what the system will do while it waits.
Original Ovl reading exercise · written for Ovl